Araratvs
Ararat-Armenia
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ararat 0-1 Ararat-Armenia
Original prediction
Ararat-Armenia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.24 | 9.8% | 18.3% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.98 | 18.2% | 21.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 72.0% | 60.2% | -11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Ararat-Armenia
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80