Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ararat II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ararat II 1-2 Shirak II
Original prediction
Ararat II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ararat II
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Ararat II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ararat IILLLLL
GF 2 · GA 20 · avg 0.40/4.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Shirak IIDLLDL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ararat IIShirak II
16.7Attack11.1
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form11.1
12.2Power22.2
1.78xG1.60