Ararat-Armeniavs
Universitatea Craiova
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova
Original prediction
Universitatea Craiova
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 27.2% | 33.5% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.8% | 28.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 44.0% | 37.8% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00