Ararat-ArmeniavsUniversitatea Craiova

Ararat-Armenia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Universitatea Craiova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitatea Craiova hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.