Ararat-Armeniavs
Syunik
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ararat-Armenia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ararat-Armenia 3-0 Syunik
Original prediction
Ararat-Armenia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 80.3% | 68.3% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.94 | 13.2% | 18.2% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 14.00 | 6.5% | 13.5% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Ararat-Armenia
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00