UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

Home
LW
20
Full time
Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers

Away
W
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Ararat-Armenia(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Ararat-Armenia
Win probability
Ararat-Armenia
41%
Draw
25%
Shamrock Rovers
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ararat-Armenia
73
Shamrock Rovers
99
Defence
Ararat-Armenia
46
Shamrock Rovers
66
Momentum
Ararat-Armenia
50
Shamrock Rovers
100
Danger (xG)
Ararat-Armenia
1.80
Shamrock Rovers
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ararat-Armenia)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Shamrock Rovers)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Ararat-Armenia)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Shamrock Rovers)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
LW
Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
WWLWW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Ararat-Armenia41%
Draw25%
Shamrock Rovers35%

Ararat-Armenia leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ararat-Armenia head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in mixed form (LW), while Shamrock Rovers arrive in mixed form (W). Ararat-Armenia have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Shamrock Rovers over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Ararat-Armenia (73/100) and Shamrock Rovers (99/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Ararat-Armenia have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Shamrock Rovers have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Ararat-Armenia to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Ararat-Armenia 4057%, Draw 2473%, Shamrock Rovers 3470%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

L
@ Riga
14 Jul 2026
23
W
vs Riga
7 Jul 2026
20
Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers

W
vs Cork City
17 Jul 2026
41
W
vs Floriana
14 Jul 2026
51
L
@ Floriana
7 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Sligo Rovers
3 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Hibernian
30 Jun 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?

GoalVio's model predicts Ararat-Armenia to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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