GGOALVIO

Armenia · Premier League · 8/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ararat-Armenia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pyunik Yerevan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ararat-Armenia hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Premier League, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ararat-Armenia

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ararat-ArmeniaWLLWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pyunik YerevanDLLDW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ararat-ArmeniaPyunik Yerevan
100.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
83.3Power71.2
1.81xG1.60
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