Ararat-Armeniavs
Alashkert
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Alashkert
Original prediction
Ararat-Armenia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.1% | 38.9% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 26.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.0% | 34.9% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ararat-Armenia
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00