GGOALVIO

Armenia · First League · 8/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ararat-Armenia II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mika hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the First League, favouring a draw with 11.0% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.0%

Model confidence

11.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ararat-Armenia IILLLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MikaWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ararat-Armenia IIMika
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.52xG1.81
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