Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arapongas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Arapongas are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Rolândia are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arapongas hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.4% in the Paranaense - 3, while Arapongas holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arapongas
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
75.4%
Arapongas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 3.50/0.50
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00