Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aranova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aranova 2-1 Sarnese
Original prediction
Aranova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Aranova
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Aranova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AranovaWWLDL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SarneseWWWDW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AranovaSarnese
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24