Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aral · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Aral 4-0 Qiziriq, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aral 3-0 Qiziriq
Original prediction
Aral
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 86.9% | 92.9% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.62 | 9.5% | 5.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 25.43 | 3.6% | 1.6% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Aral 4–0 Qiziriq
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Aral
Probability
92.9%
Model confidence
92.9%
Aral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AralWWDWL
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
QiziriqLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
AralQiziriq
70.0Attack20.0
78.3Defence20.0
81.7Form6.7
77.3Power20.3
4.04xG0.32