GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 4/3/2024, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aral · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Aral are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Olimpik-Mobiuz are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aral hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Pro League A, while Aral holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aral

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Aral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AralLLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Olimpik-MobiuzDWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
AralOlimpik-Mobiuz
71.1Attack62.2
82.2Defence66.7
86.7Form55.6
80.7Power60.9
1.62xG0.82
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