Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aral 1-0 Metalourg
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.3%
Model confidence
13.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AralWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MetalourgWLWLD
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AralMetalourg
76.9Attack76.9
79.5Defence69.2
89.7Form53.8
82.7Power62.7
1.63xG1.02