Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aral · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Aral are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FarDu are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aral hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Pro League A, while Aral holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aral
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Aral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80