GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 4/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aragvi Dusheti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Aragvi Dusheti are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shturmi are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aragvi Dusheti hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Aragvi Dusheti holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aragvi Dusheti

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

14.2%

Aragvi Dusheti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aragvi DushetiLWLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ShturmiDWDDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Aragvi DushetiShturmi
46.5Attack37.7
53.5Defence55.3
43.9Form40.4
49.4Power46.1
1.35xG0.95
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