GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aragvi Dusheti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Aragvi Dusheti are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gori are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aragvi Dusheti hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Aragvi Dusheti holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aragvi Dusheti

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

16.4%

Aragvi Dusheti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aragvi DushetiLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GoriDDLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Aragvi DushetiGori
46.5Attack28.3
53.5Defence58.3
43.9Form31.7
49.4Power41.5
1.28xG0.70
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