Aragvi Dushetivs
Gareji
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 5/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gareji · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aragvi Dusheti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gareji are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gareji hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Gareji holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gareji
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Gareji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40