AraguaínavsIndependência

Araguaína are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Independência are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Araguaína hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Serie D, while Araguaína holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.