Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Araguaína · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Araguaína are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guaporé are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.0 against 63.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Serie D, while Araguaína holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Araguaína
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Araguaína has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00