Aradvs
Kfar Saba 1928
COMPLETEDIsrael · State Cup · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kfar Saba 1928 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arad 1-3 Kfar Saba 1928
Original prediction
Kfar Saba 1928
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.38 | 20.3% | 33.7% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.8% | 27.6% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 55.9% | 38.7% | -17.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Kfar Saba 1928
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Kfar Saba 1928 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60