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APR logoAPRvsZamalek SC logoZamalek SC

COMPLETED

World · CAF Champions League · 10/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zamalek SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

APR 0-1 Zamalek SC

Original prediction

Zamalek SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.7215.8%28.4%12.6 pts
Draw3.4526.2%29.3%3.1 pts
Away1.5658.0%42.3%-15.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–015%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Zamalek SC

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Zamalek SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APRWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Zamalek SCLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
APRZamalek SC
50.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
59.3Power92.8
0.95xG1.08
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