CECAFA Club CupCECAFA Club Cup
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:35
APR

APR

Home
D
05
Full time
GOR Mahia

GOR Mahia

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
APR(28%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
APR
28%
Draw
24%
GOR Mahia
49%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
APR
9
GOR Mahia
94
Defence
APR
91
GOR Mahia
66
Momentum
APR
33
GOR Mahia
100
Danger (xG)
APR
0.00
GOR Mahia
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (APR)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (GOR Mahia)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (APR)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (GOR Mahia)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
APRAPR
D
GOR MahiaGOR Mahia
W

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
APR28%
Draw24%
GOR Mahia49%

GOR Mahia leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

APR head into this in CECAFA Club Cup fixture in mixed form (D), while GOR Mahia arrive in mixed form (W). APR have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for GOR Mahia over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — APR (91/100) and GOR Mahia (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

APR have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. GOR Mahia have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between APR and GOR Mahia in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects APR to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: APR 2757%, Draw 2385%, GOR Mahia 4858%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

APR

APR

D
vs Rutsiro
17 May 2026
00
GOR Mahia

GOR Mahia

W
@ Murang'a SEAL
17 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win APR vs GOR Mahia?

GoalVio's model predicts APR to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for APR vs GOR Mahia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in APR vs GOR Mahia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in APR vs GOR Mahia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more