Apollon Pontouvs
Pyrgos 1968
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apollon Pontou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Apollon Pontou 0-0 Pyrgos 1968, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Apollon Pontou 1-0 Pyrgos 1968
Original prediction
Apollon Pontou
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.9% | 42.1% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.5% | 30.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.6% | 27.0% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Projected Score
Apollon Pontou 0–0 Pyrgos 1968
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Apollon Pontou
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Apollon Pontou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60