Apollon Pontouvs
Anagennisi Karditsas
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anagennisi Karditsas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Apollon Pontou 0-1 Anagennisi Karditsas, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Apollon Pontou 1-0 Anagennisi Karditsas
Original prediction
Anagennisi Karditsas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 27.2% | 19.2% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.9% | 29.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 42.0% | 51.3% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Projected Score
Apollon Pontou 0–1 Anagennisi Karditsas
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Anagennisi Karditsas
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Anagennisi Karditsas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80