GGOALVIO

Cyprus · 1. Division · 8/19/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Apollon Limassol · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Apollon Limassol are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Othellos are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Apollon Limassol hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 36.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.9% in the 1. Division, while Apollon Limassol holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Apollon Limassol

Probability

71.9%

Model confidence

71.9%

Apollon Limassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Apollon LimassolLWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
OthellosLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Apollon LimassolOthellos
53.3Attack40.0
68.3Defence35.8
55.0Form27.5
58.8Power36.2
2.35xG0.65
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