Apollon Limassolvs
Nea Salamis
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apollon Limassol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Apollon Limassol 4-2 Nea Salamis
Original prediction
Apollon Limassol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.6% | 58.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.2% | 21.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 6.45 | 14.2% | 20.0% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Apollon Limassol
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Apollon Limassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20