Apollon Limassolvs
Apoel Nicosia
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apoel Nicosia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Apollon Limassol 2-2 Apoel Nicosia
Original prediction
Apoel Nicosia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.5% | 32.4% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.7% | 29.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.8% | 38.6% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Apoel Nicosia
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Apoel Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60