Apollon Limassolvs
Anorthosis
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apollon Limassol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Apollon Limassol 1-0 Anorthosis, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Apollon Limassol 3-1 Anorthosis
Original prediction
Apollon Limassol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.7% | 51.4% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.6% | 26.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 6.25 | 14.7% | 21.7% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
Apollon Limassol 1–0 Anorthosis
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Apollon Limassol
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Apollon Limassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00