Apoel Nicosiavs
Omonia 29is Maiou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apoel Nicosia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Apoel Nicosia 4-1 Omonia 29is Maiou
Original prediction
Apoel Nicosia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 73.1% | 53.1% | -20.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.38 | 17.0% | 21.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 9.28 | 9.9% | 25.1% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Apoel Nicosia
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Apoel Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20