Apoel Nicosiavs
Nea Salamis
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apoel Nicosia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Nea Salamis
Original prediction
Apoel Nicosia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 63.5% | 52.3% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 22.0% | 22.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 6.33 | 14.5% | 24.9% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Apoel Nicosia
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Apoel Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60