Apoel Nicosiavs
AEL
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apoel Nicosia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Apoel Nicosia 6-0 AEL
Original prediction
Apoel Nicosia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.6% | 58.9% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.2% | 23.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 22.2% | 18.1% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Apoel Nicosia
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Apoel Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00