GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/9/2026, 7:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sydney United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

14.2%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Sydney UnitedWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney United
73.8Attack48.8
60.7Defence76.2
76.2Form71.4
71.6Power67.3
1.35xG1.05
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