GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 7/11/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sydney II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

11.5%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney IILWWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney II
73.8Attack41.7
60.7Defence51.2
76.2Form44.0
71.6Power46.4
2.52xG0.84
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