GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/26/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while St. George Saints are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

83.6%

Model confidence

13.2%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
St. George SaintsLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersSt. George Saints
73.8Attack32.1
60.7Defence41.7
76.2Form28.6
71.6Power36.1
3.12xG0.63
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