APIA Leichhardt Tigersvs
St. George Saints
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 4/26/2026, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while St. George Saints are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Probability
83.6%
Model confidence
13.2%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60