Australia CupAustralia Cup
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 12:39
APIA Leichhardt Tigers

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Home
W
21
Full time
Peninsula Power

Peninsula Power

Away
L
Lambert Park
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers36%
Draw35%
Peninsula Power29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Win probability
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
36%
Draw
35%
Peninsula Power
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
73
Peninsula Power
34
Defence
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
66
Peninsula Power
27
Momentum
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
100
Peninsula Power
0
Danger (xG)
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.80
Peninsula Power
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (APIA Leichhardt Tigers)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Peninsula Power)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (APIA Leichhardt Tigers)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Peninsula Power)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
WL
Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power
LDWWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
APIA Leichhardt Tigers36%
Draw35%
Peninsula Power29%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

APIA Leichhardt Tigers head into this in Australia Cup fixture at Lambert Park in mixed form (W), while Peninsula Power arrive in mixed form (L). APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Peninsula Power over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. APIA Leichhardt Tigers's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Peninsula Power defence (27/100), while Peninsula Power's attack is up against a solid APIA Leichhardt Tigers backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in APIA Leichhardt Tigers's favour.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Peninsula Power have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3581%, Draw 3500%, Peninsula Power 2919%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1Draws 00 Peninsula Power
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
W21
Peninsula Power

Recent form

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APIA Leichhardt Tigers

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Peninsula Power?

GoalVio's model predicts APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Peninsula Power?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Peninsula Power?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Peninsula Power?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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