APIA Leichhardt Tigersvs
Melbourne Victory
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 8/19/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-1 Melbourne Victory
Original prediction
Melbourne Victory
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Melbourne Victory
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Melbourne Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
APIA Leichhardt TigersWDDWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne VictoryDWWWL
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersMelbourne Victory
50.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
66.7Form66.7
64.8Power74.3
1.75xG1.77