GGOALVIO

APIA Leichhardt Tigers logoAPIA Leichhardt TigersvsMelbourne Victory logoMelbourne Victory

SCHEDULED

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/19/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Melbourne Victory are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Australia Cup, while Melbourne Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

10.2%

Melbourne Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne VictoryDWWWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersMelbourne Victory
50.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
66.7Form66.7
64.8Power74.3
1.76xG1.77
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