GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marconi Stallions are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Marconi StallionsWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersMarconi Stallions
73.8Attack58.0
60.7Defence74.1
76.2Form67.9
71.6Power67.0
1.35xG1.24
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