GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 6/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Manly United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Manly UnitedDWLWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersManly United
73.8Attack39.3
60.7Defence58.3
76.2Form45.2
71.6Power48.9
2.14xG0.80
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