APEAvs
Spartakos Kitiou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
APEA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
APEA 0-0 Spartakos Kitiou
Original prediction
APEA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.2% | 37.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 29.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.2% | 33.7% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
APEA
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
APEA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
APEAWDWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartakos KitiouWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
APEASpartakos Kitiou
66.7Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power59.3
1.51xG1.32