GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/7/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Aparecidense are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while São Bernardo are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AparecidenseL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
São BernardoWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
AparecidenseSão Bernardo
29.8Attack30.7
64.9Defence74.7
38.6Form49.3
46.7Power53.4
0.48xG0.60
View match centre →