Aparecidensevs
São Bernardo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 5/7/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aparecidense are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while São Bernardo are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00