AparecidensevsBrasiliense

Aparecidense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Brasiliense are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Brasiliense hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.