AO ItabaianavsPaysandu

AO Itabaiana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Paysandu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Paysandu hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the Serie C, while Paysandu holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.