GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 6/14/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

AO Itabaiana are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ituano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ituano hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AO ItabaianaLDWDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ItuanoLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AO ItabaianaItuano
27.1Attack37.5
58.3Defence64.6
35.4Form45.8
42.9Power50.6
0.60xG0.88
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