AO Itabaianavs
Botafogo PB
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo PB · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AO Itabaiana 0-1 Botafogo PB, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
AO Itabaiana 0-2 Botafogo PB
Original prediction
Botafogo PB
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 22.9% | -20.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.5% | 27.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.0% | 49.7% | 22.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.7 pts
Projected Score
AO Itabaiana 0–1 Botafogo PB
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo PB
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Botafogo PB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AO ItabaianaLLLDW
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Botafogo PBWDDWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AO ItabaianaBotafogo PB
25.9Attack48.1
53.7Defence64.8
31.5Form55.6
39.7Power57.6
0.56xG1.29