GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 9/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anzoátegui FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Anzoátegui FC 1-3 Monagas SC

Original prediction

Anzoátegui FC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3438.7%36.8%-1.9 pts
Draw3.1928.3%26.5%-1.8 pts
Away2.7333.0%36.7%3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Anzoátegui FC

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Anzoátegui FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Anzoátegui FCLDDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Monagas SCLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Anzoátegui FCMonagas SC
33.3Attack35.1
36.8Defence43.9
22.8Form26.3
33.4Power37.1
1.19xG1.22
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