GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Anzoátegui FC 0-1 Metropolitanos FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Anzoátegui FC 0-2 Metropolitanos FC

Original prediction

Metropolitanos FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9930.2%18.9%-11.3 pts
Draw3.2527.8%23.8%-4.0 pts
Away2.1442.1%57.4%15.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.3 pts

Projected Score

Anzoátegui FC 0–1 Metropolitanos FC

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Metropolitanos FC

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Anzoátegui FCWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Metropolitanos FCWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Anzoátegui FCMetropolitanos FC
31.7Attack46.9
34.9Defence69.1
20.6Form64.2
31.7Power62.0
0.57xG1.83
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