Anzoátegui FCvs
Caracas FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Anzoátegui FC 0-1 Caracas FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Anzoátegui FC 1-1 Caracas FC
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 26.8% | 24.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 27.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.3% | 47.6% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Anzoátegui FC 0–1 Caracas FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00