Anzoátegui FCvs
Carabobo FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carabobo FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Anzoátegui FC 0-2 Carabobo FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Anzoátegui FC 0-1 Carabobo FC
Original prediction
Carabobo FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.90 | 18.6% | 12.7% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 21.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.3% | 66.3% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Projected Score
Anzoátegui FC 0–2 Carabobo FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Carabobo FC
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00