GGOALVIO

Anzio logoAnziovsAfragolese logoAfragolese

COMPLETED

Italy · Serie D - Girone G · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anzio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Anzio 0-0 Afragolese

Original prediction

Anzio

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6234.3%37.3%3.0 pts
Draw3.0029.9%28.9%-1.0 pts
Away2.5035.9%33.8%-2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Anzio

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Anzio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnzioDDWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AfragoleseWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
AnzioAfragolese
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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