Antwerpvs
Union St. Gilloise
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antwerp 0-2 Union St. Gilloise
Original prediction
Union St. Gilloise
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.06 | 18.4% | 18.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.6% | 20.0% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 59.0% | 61.7% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Union St. Gilloise
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40